Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.272168 3.461715 3.663285 3.894799 4.154890 4.439908 4.778450
2025-04-13 2.892170 3.132931 3.400856 3.724671 4.110480 4.562303 5.142395
2025-04-20 2.707154 2.993963 3.326369 3.747724 4.279597 4.947077 5.881932
2025-04-27 2.563997 2.886862 3.274674 3.788178 4.473309 5.395811 6.817505
2025-05-04 2.468661 2.826633 3.271555 3.886721 4.756158 6.021467 8.209870
2025-05-11 2.358344 2.736976 3.220858 3.914739 4.946499 6.561538 9.707854
2025-05-18 2.244120 2.632426 3.139898 3.889878 5.054765 7.003017 11.278808
2025-05-25 2.107641 2.488874 2.994167 3.755531 4.972718 7.103912 12.220531
2025-06-01 2.011452 2.392589 2.905613 3.695514 5.000694 7.414127 13.922046
2025-06-08 1.933973 2.316525 2.839210 3.661314 5.065865 7.817546 16.320307
2025-06-15 1.877541 2.265599 2.804340 3.671565 5.209659 8.434936 20.393990
2025-06-22 1.802432 2.184522 2.720064 3.594349 5.181449 8.659914 23.421773
2025-06-29 1.724637 2.101198 2.635068 3.521653 5.178205 9.022285 28.947798
2025-07-06 1.641610 2.006924 2.528776 3.405353 5.075704 9.111687 33.776857
2025-07-13 1.603453 1.974969 2.514531 3.444138 5.296683 10.230376 61.220541
2025-07-20 1.570305 1.948403 2.506612 3.493394 5.554695 11.689844 224.876572
2025-07-27 1.549341 1.938385 2.523590 3.589546 5.947250 14.098557 NaN
2025-08-03 1.516578 1.908950 2.507376 3.622360 6.201980 16.379452 NaN
2025-08-10 1.476959 1.867201 2.468350 3.607171 6.333283 18.343910 NaN
2025-08-17 1.421989 1.799870 2.383587 3.494528 6.179777 18.410516 NaN
2025-08-24 1.382201 1.754280 2.332654 3.445157 6.195139 19.772752 NaN
2025-08-31 1.348913 1.717355 2.294205 3.417447 6.268246 21.860938 NaN
2025-09-07 1.324421 1.692993 2.275488 3.428219 6.460354 25.807177 NaN